2.
Please provide your organizations comments on enabling approvals for major long lead time transmission projects needed beyond the current 10 year planning horizon.
California Western Grid supports proposed enhancement #2 - Coordination with other planning processes and enable the ISO to approve major long lead time transmission projects needed beyond the current 10-year planning horizon
However, we believe the CAISO Straw Proposal inappropriately delays the implementation of enhancement #2. The Strawman Proposal states at page 7:
The CAISO, starting with the 2023-2024 transmission planning process, will work with the CEC and the CPUC regarding input assumptions beyond the 10-year planning horizon.
Why are we waiting until the 2023-24 TPP?
In the past several years, the CAISO has warned repeatedly in various pleadings at the CPUC and in public forums, that we need to start planning and approving new transmission immediately. Now with the passage of SB 887 the California State Legislature and the Governor have said they not only agree, but we need to urgently start planning and approving needed transmission to connect the massive number of new renewables and storage required by SB 100 and deliver that clean energy load centers.
SB 887 specifically states:
(f) On or before January 15, 2023, the commission shall request the Independent System Operator to do both of the following:
(1) Identify, based as much as possible on studies completed before January 1, 2023, by the Independent System Operator and projections provided before January 1, 2023, by the commission and the Energy Commission, the highest priority transmission facilities that are needed to allow for increased transmission capacity into local capacity areas to deliver renewable energy resources or zero-carbon resources that are expected to be developed by 2035 into those areas.
(2) Consider whether to approve transmission projects identified pursuant to paragraph (1) as part of its 2022–23 transmission planning process. [emphasis added]
The message of urgency SB 887 could not be clearer. Use studies already completed, supplemented by new studies from the 2022-23 TPP, to identify needed high priority transmission, and prioritize new transmission into transmission constrained local capacity areas.
While the Legislature can not order the CAISO to approve needed transmission, the Legislature encourages the CAISO to act in the current 2022-23 TPP. Further, the Legislature identifies CAISO’s FERC tariff obligation to plan transmission to accommodate State policy needs and states it is the Legislature’s intent that CAISO take notice of the State policies expressed in SB 887. In SB 887 the Legislature describes the need for new transmission as “urgent;” and transmission solutions for transmission constrained load centers should be resolved “promptly;” and that given the scale of transmission found needed in the CAISO’s 20-Year Transmission Outlook, CAISO must act “proactively.” SB 887 also emphasizes that the CAISO must plan for transmission projects, considering the long and uncertain lead-times to ensure the transmission is ready when needed. It is worth noting that SB 887 was unanimously approved by both the Senate and Assembly, a rare occurrence reflecting an equally rare consensus.
The CPUC echoed the same sense of urgency with the October 6, 2022 Draft IRP Ruling on resource portfolios to be used in the CAISO TPP process. The draft ruling says beginning on page 7:
The July 1, 2022, [CPUC] letter recommendations were intended to encourage the CAISO to consider identifying transmission needs, not only from study of the 38 MMT base case, but also from the study of the 30 MMT sensitivity, for approval within the 2022-2023 TPP. Using both the base case and the sensitivity will give CAISO a broader set of information from which to consider transmission investments. And, considering that the 30 MMT High Electrification sensitivity passed to 2022-2023 TPP is very similar to the 30 MMT HE portfolio proposed above as the 2023-2024 TPP base case, CAISO staff may be able to get a “head start” on identifying any associated transmission needs by considering the results of the 30 MMT High Electrification sensitivity in making transmission investment recommendations to its board in the 2022-2023 TPP cycle [emphasis added]
The CAISO simply cannot ignore the State Policy direction from the Legislature and the Governor, in addition to the CPUC and the CAISO’s own 20-Year Transmission Outlook. It is time to start with the current 2022-23 TPP cycle to approve significant high priority long-lead time transmission projects, particularly the highest priority projects that add transmission capacity into transmission constrained load centers. The Strawman Proposal needs to be amended to reflect this urgency.
Accordingly, the CAISO Strawman Proposal Page 7 needs to be amended as follows:
The CAISO, starting with the 2022-23 2023-24 transmission planning process, will work with the CEC and the CPUC regarding input assumptions beyond the 10-year planning horizon
Fortunately, the CPUC had the foresight to provide the CAISO with a 2035 30 MMT HE portfolio that can and should be used in this 2022-23 TPP to identify and approve high priority transmission. The findings in this 2022-23 planning cycle should be integrated with the findings from the CAISO 20-year transmission outlook and the CAISO’s 2020-21 TPP LCRA and Battery studies.
As California Western Grid stated above, the California Legislature, Governor and CPUC expect no less, and all have urged the CAISO to begin planning and approving long-lead time transmission projects in this 2022-23 TPP. Clearly the least regrets course of action.
There is no time to delay. It is time to be proactive. The CAISO and others have mentioned that new transmission can take 10 years or more to plan, permit and build. This may be optimistic. A Clean Air Taskforce report from October 2022 lists transmission projects greater than $50 million that have been approved by the CAISO over the last 10 years and observes at page 10:
Major transmission projects take years to complete and major projects in California often require twice as much time as originally anticipated[1]
California Western Grid also observes that our recent discussion with major transmission equipment vendors have indicated that due to world-wide demand for equipment and the limited number of suppliers, a very long lead time for orders of essential transmission components. Orders made today for transformers and HVDC convertors can expect delivery in late 2027 and 2028. Waiting another year to approve transmission projects will push out timing slots for manufacturing and delivery an additional 1-2 years into the future. This problem is sure to get worse for urgently needed California projects as the rest of the nation, not to mention the world, just like California, is poised for a major transmission building initiative to support each State’s clean air initiatives. The ability to have certainty for cost and schedule of projects will become more problematic.
California Western Grid urges the CAISO adopt enhancements described in the Strawman proposal and in this 2022-23 TPP to get a jump on the current backlog of needed transmission. California Western Grid applauds the roadmap provided in the CAISO’s 20-Year Transmission Outlook and urges the CAISO to get started on the significant new transmission that will be needed in 10-12 years, beginning with this 2022-23 TPP, by first focusing on load centers like the LA Basin that have the worst air quality significantly harming disadvantaged communities.
The State Legislature, Governor and CPUC have provided the policy direction and encouragement; it is now up to the CAISO to implement.
[1] See Clean Air Taskforce, Growing the Grid: A Plan to Accelerate California's Clean Energy Transition, October 2022, Figure 4, pg. 10
3.
Please provide your organizations comments on retaining policy-driven transmission upgrade capacity for the specific policy purpose for which it was developed.
California Western Grid supports this proposed improvement to the current transmission planning process. It is important to build long-lead time transmission ahead of, and in anticipation of new resources. In the case of offshore wind, the resource development may entail lengthy leasing and site assessment processes, with substantial costs to the winning lessee. During that lengthy resource development periods, wind developers need to be assured transmission will be available when the resources come online.
The CAISO Strawman Proposal may provide a way to provide that assurance, but there is little detail in the Strawman Proposal regarding how the CAISO will identify and earmark specific locations and amounts of transmission to be set aside to fulfill policy objectives, including off shore wind connectivity.
California Western Grid encourages the CAISO to continue to work with stakeholders as the details of this proposal are fleshed out.
Page 9 of the Strawman Proposal contains the following statement:
California Western Grid Suggested applying the policy to transmission into load pockets as well as out of generation pockets.
• The ISO agrees that transmission into load pockets is important, not only for reliability and economic purposes, but ultimately for compliance with the state’s clean energy goals. However, we believe that type of transmission planning can be managed through the normal transmission planning process, without the need to reserve capacity for certain resources.
California Western Grid agrees that reserving transmission into load pockets can be managed through normal transmission planning processes, if the ‘normal’ transmission planning processes evolves. For example, the ‘normal’ transmission planning process for 2022-23 TPP should include enhancements in this Strawman proposal and the ‘normal’ planning process should evolve to incorporate significant new mandates such as fulfilment of state policy from SB 887 and draft CPUC guidance to evaluate and approve needed transmission based on the 30 MMT HE portfolio.
California Western Grid urges the CAISO adopt enhancements described in the Strawman proposal and in this 2022-23 TPP to get a jump on the current backlog of needed transmission. California Western Grid applauds the roadmap provided in the CAISO’s 20-Year Transmission Outlook and urges the CAISO to get started on the significant new transmission that will be needed in 10-12 years, beginning with this 2022-23 TPP, by first focusing on load centers like the LA Basin that have the worst air quality significantly harming disadvantaged communities.
4.
Please provide additional comments your organization has on the transmission planning process enhancements initiative.
Comments of California Western Grid on CAISO’s September 22, 2022, Strawman Proposal Proposing Transmission Planning Enhancements
10-14-22
Three Rivers Energy Development, LLC (TRED) is an Independent Transmission Developer that is developing the proposed Pacific Transmission Expansion Project (“PTE Project” or “PTEP”) on behalf of California Western Grid Development, LLC. (“California Western Grid”). The PTE Project is a 2,000 MW controllable HVDC subsea transmission cable that the California Independent System Operator (“CAISO”) has found will allow new and existing supply, including OSW to be available to the Diablo Canyon 500 kV switchyard, or new offshore wind, to be delivered to the LA Basin and the Big Creek Ventura areas, which would reduce local capacity requirements among solving other issues. The PTE Project is described in Section 4.8.8 of the 2020-2021 CAISO Transmission Report issued March 24, 2021. The PTE Project is also currently being restudied by the CAISO as part of 2022-2023 CAISO Transmission Planning Process (“TPP”).
We are pleased to submit these comments on behalf of California Western Grid regarding the Transmission Planning Process (“TPP”) Enhancements Strawman Proposal dated September 22, 2022. We commend the CAISO for recognizing that changes to the TPP are needed immediately if the CAISO is going to be able to plan and approve transmission to accommodate the tripling of clean energy resources the 2021 Joint Agency Report to the Legislature found is necessary to meet Senate Bill100 goals.
The CAISO has proposed three enhancements
- Adjust the timeline for releasing the draft transmission plan each planning cycle from the end of January to the end of March
- Coordinate with other planning processes and enable the ISO to approve major long lead time transmission projects needed beyond the current 10-year planning horizon
- Retain policy-driven transmission upgrade capacity for the resources that meet the specific policy purpose for which it was developed
As described in more detail below, California Western Grid supports all three of these proposed enhancements. However, we believe the CAISO Straw Proposal inappropriately delays the implementation of issue #2. The Strawman Proposal states at page 7:
The CAISO, starting with the 2023-2024 transmission planning process, will work with the CEC and the CPUC regarding input assumptions beyond the 10-year planning horizon.
Why are we waiting until the 2023-24 TPP?
In the past several years, the CAISO has warned repeatedly in various pleadings at the CPUC and in public forums, that we need to start planning and approving new transmission immediately. Now with the passage of SB 887 the California State Legislature and the Governor have said they not only agree, but we need to urgently start planning and approving needed transmission to connect the massive number of new renewables and storage required by SB 100 and deliver that clean energy load centers.
SB 887 specifically states:
(f) On or before January 15, 2023, the commission shall request the Independent System Operator to do both of the following:
(1) Identify, based as much as possible on studies completed before January 1, 2023, by the Independent System Operator and projections provided before January 1, 2023, by the commission and the Energy Commission, the highest priority transmission facilities that are needed to allow for increased transmission capacity into local capacity areas to deliver renewable energy resources or zero-carbon resources that are expected to be developed by 2035 into those areas.
(2) Consider whether to approve transmission projects identified pursuant to paragraph (1) as part of its 2022–23 transmission planning process. [emphasis added]
The message of urgency SB 887 could not be clearer. Use studies already completed, supplemented by new studies from the 2022-23 TPP, to identify needed high priority transmission, and prioritize new transmission into transmission constrained local capacity areas.
While the Legislature can not order the CAISO to approve needed transmission, the Legislature encourages the CAISO to act in the current 2022-23 TPP. Further, the Legislature identifies CAISO’s FERC tariff obligation to plan transmission to accommodate State policy needs and states it is the Legislature’s intent that CAISO take notice of the State policies expressed in SB 887. In SB 887 the Legislature describes the need for new transmission as “urgent;” and transmission solutions for transmission constrained load centers should be resolved “promptly;” and that given the scale of transmission found needed in the CAISO’s 20-Year Transmission Outlook, CAISO must act “proactively.” SB 887 also emphasizes that the CAISO must plan for transmission projects, considering the long and uncertain lead-times to ensure the transmission is ready when needed. It is worth noting that SB 887 was unanimously approved by both the Senate and Assembly, a rare occurrence reflecting an equally rare consensus.
The CPUC echoed the same sense of urgency with the October 6, 2022 Draft IRP Ruling on resource portfolios to be used in the CAISO TPP process. The draft ruling says beginning on page 7:
The July 1, 2022, [CPUC] letter recommendations were intended to encourage the CAISO to consider identifying transmission needs, not only from study of the 38 MMT base case, but also from the study of the 30 MMT sensitivity, for approval within the 2022-2023 TPP. Using both the base case and the sensitivity will give CAISO a broader set of information from which to consider transmission investments. And, considering that the 30 MMT High Electrification sensitivity passed to 2022-2023 TPP is very similar to the 30 MMT HE portfolio proposed above as the 2023-2024 TPP base case, CAISO staff may be able to get a “head start” on identifying any associated transmission needs by considering the results of the 30 MMT High Electrification sensitivity in making transmission investment recommendations to its board in the 2022-2023 TPP cycle [emphasis added]
The CAISO simply cannot ignore the State Policy direction from the Legislature and the Governor, in addition to the CPUC and the CAISO’s own 20-Year Transmission Outlook. It is time to start with the current 22-23 TPP cycle to approve significant high priority long-lead time transmission projects, particularly the highest priority projects that add transmission capacity into transmission constrained load centers. The Strawman Proposal needs to be amended to reflect this urgency.
Issue #1 - Adjust the timeline for releasing the draft transmission plan each planning cycle from the end of January to the end of March
Cal-Western continues to support this enhancement. The planning process has become more complicated. It is important to build enough time into each TPP cycle to allow the CAISO to properly evaluate high electrification scenarios and portfolios that add significant resource additions to reduce carbon emissions and have a chance of meeting SB 100 goals.
California Western Grid especially encourages the CAISO to also use the added time in the 2022-23 TPP cycle to evaluate transmission needs from the CPUC 2035 30 MMT high electrification portfolio, integrating the CAISO LCRA studies and Battery Study from the 2020-21 TPP (Appendix G) to identify and approve high priority long lead time transmission additions into load centers that are found needed and are consistent with the 20-Year Outlook.
The State Legislature, the Governor and the CPUC expect no less.
Issue #2 - Coordinate with other planning processes and enable the ISO to approve major long lead time transmission projects needed beyond the current 10-year planning horizon
California Western Grid also strongly supports this proposal as an enduring enhancement to the Transmission Planning Process. However, we need to begin long range planning now, in the current 2022-23 TPP.
Accordingly, the CAISO Strawman Proposal Page 7 needs to be amended as follows:
The CAISO, starting with the 2022-23 transmission planning process, will work with the CEC and the CPUC regarding input assumptions beyond the 10-year planning horizon
Fortunately, the CPUC had the foresight to provide the CAISO with a 2035 30 MMT HE portfolio that can and should be used in this 2022-23 TPP to identify and approve high priority transmission. The findings in this 2022-23 planning cycle should be integrated with the findings from the CAISO 20-year transmission outlook and the CAISO’s 2020-21 TPP LCRA and Battery studies.
As California Western Grid stated above, the California Legislature, Governor and CPUC expect no less, and all have urged the CAISO to begin planning and approving long-lead time transmission projects in this 2022-23 TPP. Clearly the least regrets course of action.
There is no time to delay. It is time to be proactive. The CAISO and others have mentioned that new transmission can take 10 years or more to plan, permit and build. This may be optimistic. A Clean Air Taskforce report from October 2022 lists transmission projects greater than $50 million that have been approved by the CAISO over the last 10 years and observes at page 10:
Major transmission projects take years to complete and major projects in California often require twice as much time as originally anticipated[1]
California Western Grid also observes that our recent discussion with major transmission equipment vendors have indicated that due to world-wide demand for equipment and the limited number of suppliers, a very long lead time for orders of essential transmission components. Orders made today for transformers and HVDC convertors can expect delivery in late 2027 and 2028. Waiting another year to approve transmission projects will push out timing slots for manufacturing and delivery an additional 1-2 years into the future. This problem is sure to get worse for urgently needed California projects as the rest of the nation, not to mention the world, just like California, is poised for a major transmission building initiative to support each State’s clean air initiatives. The ability to have certainty for cost and schedule of projects will become more problematic.
Issue #3 - Retain policy-driven transmission upgrade capacity for the resources that meet the specific policy purpose for which it was developed
California Western Grid supports this proposed improvement to the current transmission planning process. It is important to build long-lead time transmission ahead of, and in anticipation of new resources. In the case of offshore wind, the resource development may entail lengthy leasing and site assessment processes, with substantial costs to the winning lessee. During that lengthy resource development periods, wind developers need to be assured transmission will be available when the resources come online.
The CAISO Strawman Proposal may provide a way to provide that assurance, but there is little detail in the Strawman Proposal regarding how the CAISO will identify and earmark specific locations and amounts of transmission to be set aside to fulfill policy objectives, including off shore wind connectivity.
California Western Grid encourages the CAISO to continue to work with stakeholders as the details of this proposal are fleshed out.
Page 9 of the Strawman Proposal contains the following statement:
California Western Grid Suggested applying the policy to transmission into load pockets as well as out of generation pockets.
• The ISO agrees that transmission into load pockets is important, not only for reliability and economic purposes, but ultimately for compliance with the state’s clean energy goals. However, we believe that type of transmission planning can be managed through the normal transmission planning process, without the need to reserve capacity for certain resources.
California Western Grid agrees that reserving transmission into load pockets can be managed through normal transmission planning processes, if the ‘normal’ transmission planning processes evolves. For example, the ‘normal’ transmission planning process for 2022-23 TPP should include enhancements in this Strawman proposal and the ‘normal’ planning process should evolve to incorporate significant new mandates such as fulfilment of state policy from SB 887 and draft CPUC guidance to evaluate and approve needed transmission based on the 30 MMT HE portfolio.
California Western Grid urges the CAISO adopt enhancements described in the Strawman proposal and in this 2022-23 TPP to get a jump on the current backlog of needed transmission. California Western Grid applauds the roadmap provided in the CAISO’s 20-Year Transmission Outlook and urges the CAISO to get started on the significant new transmission that will be needed in 10-12 years, beginning with this 2022-23 TPP, by first focusing on load centers like the LA Basin that have the worst air quality significantly harming disadvantaged communities.
The State Legislature, Governor and CPUC have provided the policy direction and encouragement; it is now up to the CAISO to implement.
Marty Walicki,
Managing Partner
Three Rivers Energy Development, LLC October 14, 2022
[1] See Clean Air Taskforce, Growing the Grid: A Plan to Accelerate California's Clean Energy Transition, October 2022, Figure 4, pg. 10